In recent years, the improvement in all-cause mortality rates has been slowing down in England and Wales. By analysing the cause-specific mortality rates, we investigate major causes for the observed slowdown.

We use generalised linear models to model death counts in the all-cause and cause-specific mortality experience in England and Wales from 2001 to 2017. Breakpoint analysis techniques are employed for the purposes of identifying and quantifying the changes in all-cause and cause-specific mortality trends. We also address the effect of the change in cause-of-death classifications on the cause-specific mortality rates in England and Wales.

Speakers: Alexander Yiu, Heriot-Watt University