There is a continual need for investment, but
public capital provision is often challenged due to the associated risks and slow-moving
nature of infrastructure projects, coupled with economic instability and
competing priorities. UN Trade and Development (UNCTAD), highlight in their
Investment report that downturns in
project finance affects sustainable development.
Private investment in projects and
companies that support sustainable infrastructure is essential to reach global
sustainability targets. Actuaries sit on boards of trustees for pension firms and
provide investment advice to institutional asset managers. Where these clients
are considering investment in infrastructure, actuaries are well positioned to
advise given their expertise in understanding and quantifying risk, coupled
with a duty to act in the public interest. The
IFoA infrastructure investment guide provides further information on
infrastructure investment and potential SDG considerations.
Investment in infrastructure offers the
potential for diversification benefits to a broader portfolio, alongside
expected returns that compensate for an elevated risk profile. This is
therefore potentially suitable for many financial institutions that would like
to match long-term, real liabilities whilst also providing risk-return profiles
that suit investor appetite. Such institutions include pension funds, private
banks, insurance companies and sovereign wealth funds.
Infrastructure projects can have
significant positive economic and social impacts when established in emerging
markets. The UN Principles for Responsible Investment (UN PRI) state that in
order “to
support meeting the SDGs, investors must understand the positive and negative
outcomes from their investments, as well as how they can shape those outcomes”.
Infrastructure projects could often be associated
with an elevated risk profile, due to complex and potential construction delays
and the length of time needed before assets generate cash flow. The
Economist Intelligence unit and UN Office for Project Services show that
out of $120trn in assets under management by banks and institutional investors
globally, infrastructure makes up only about 5%.
Other driving factors of the elevated risk
profile of infrastructure projects often include limited available information
and data, a lack of adequate regulation, and associated political instability.
This is where actuarial involvement adds meaningful value through modelling and
quantifying these risk factors, enabling more informed capital appraisal
decisions to be made and improving investor knowledge. This in turn can
facilitate additional investment in developing countries and markets, which can
then help with progress against other SDGs.
(Re)insurance also plays a critical role in
facilitating infrastructure investment through risk transfer. This is
particularly true for new technologies where the associated risks are
non-standard and complex. The
2024 African Insurance organization (AIO) report, states that more
encouragement of re/insurers to invest in large-scale infrastructure projects
is needed for the potential to stabilise economies, reduce dependency on
additional debt, and pave the way for sustainable growth.
Actuaries play a key role in identifying
and communicating these risks to enable adequate pricing, reserving and capital
allocation for such products.